Big Data

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6,341.94
9,830 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.75%
537 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
309 openings · below min
30 days
537 openings · below min
since tracking started
537 openings · below min
68.5%95.3%122.0%

Small sample. 537 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d30996.46%±25.1—sample
30d53785.75%±16.5—sample
All53785.75%±16.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | iBUYPOWER (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · legendaryButta dog$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$148K230,065 CSBATTLE_COIN23.40x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$72.1K111,784 CSBATTLE_COIN11.37x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryKERVALA ♿$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$72.1K111,784 CSBATTLE_COIN11.37x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$72.1K111,784 CSBATTLE_COIN11.37x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$72.1K111,784 CSBATTLE_COIN11.37x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$50.7K78,630 CSBATTLE_COIN8.00x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$50.7K78,630 CSBATTLE_COIN8.00x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$50.7K78,630 CSBATTLE_COIN8.00x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$50.7K78,630 CSBATTLE_COIN8.00x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$45.1K69,865 CSBATTLE_COIN7.11x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0101,566 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0101,566 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New)gloves · #eb4b4b$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,44113,083 CSBATTLE_COIN1.33x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0101,566 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0101,566 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2571,949 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
XM1014 | Blaze Orange (Battle-Scarred)weapon · Heavy$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$25.4K39,378 CSBATTLE_COIN4.01x
CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Well-Worn)weapon · Covert$6,3429,830 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2571,949 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $148K (23.40x)