Forest Effect
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$2,387.10
3,700 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
172.03%
26 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 26 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$24.3K37,700 CSBATTLE_COIN10.19x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · legendaryGrizzly$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$17.8K27,600 CSBATTLE_COIN7.46x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$17.4K27,000 CSBATTLE_COIN7.30x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · Knives$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$15.2K23,550 CSBATTLE_COIN6.36x
★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.2K17,340 CSBATTLE_COIN4.69x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.1K17,225 CSBATTLE_COIN4.66x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Phase 4$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,77413,600 CSBATTLE_COIN3.68x
Latest dropsnewest first
Nova | Forest Leaves (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$40.1362.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$56.1887.08 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Nova | Forest Leaves (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$40.1362.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · mil specGrizzly$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$47.6873.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Nova | Forest Leaves (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$40.1362.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$47.6873.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Nova | Forest Leaves (Factory New)weapon · Consumer Grade$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$40.1362.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinaryGrizzly$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$56.1887.08 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$24.3K37,700 CSBATTLE_COIN10.19x
CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Well-Worn)weapon · mil spec$2,3873,700 CSBATTLE_COIN$47.6873.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $24.3K (10.19x)