Guitar Hero
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5,290.32
8,200 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
59.18%
108 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 108 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$21.2K32,891 CSBATTLE_COIN4.01x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$21.2K32,891 CSBATTLE_COIN4.01x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$20.2K31,248 CSBATTLE_COIN3.81x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$13.9K21,483 CSBATTLE_COIN2.62x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$13.9K21,483 CSBATTLE_COIN2.62x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$13.9K21,483 CSBATTLE_COIN2.62x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.3K19,001 CSBATTLE_COIN2.32x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covertdbpro313$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.3K19,001 CSBATTLE_COIN2.32x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.3K19,001 CSBATTLE_COIN2.32x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.3K19,001 CSBATTLE_COIN2.32x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.320.5 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,99910,848 CSBATTLE_COIN1.32x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.1K17,246 CSBATTLE_COIN2.10x
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$5,2908,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.320.5 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $21.2K (4.01x)