Volcano

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,187.10
1,840 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
89.72%
104 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
48 openings · below min
30 days
104 openings · below min
since tracking started
104 openings · below min
48.5%80.7%113.0%

Small sample. 104 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d4870.05%±20.7—sample
30d10489.72%±22.6—sample
All10489.72%±22.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,32812,908 CSBATTLE_COIN7.02x
★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,4795,392 CSBATTLE_COIN2.93x
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,0944,796 CSBATTLE_COIN2.61x
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,0944,796 CSBATTLE_COIN2.61x
★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covertHeizo$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,0944,796 CSBATTLE_COIN2.61x
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,8134,360 CSBATTLE_COIN2.37x
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinaryMUNKHOLM$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,8134,360 CSBATTLE_COIN2.37x
Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,6974,181 CSBATTLE_COIN2.27x
Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,6974,181 CSBATTLE_COIN2.27x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$201312 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$201312 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · knifes$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$9651,497 CSBATTLE_COIN0.81x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,5373,933 CSBATTLE_COIN2.14x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,5373,933 CSBATTLE_COIN2.14x
Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$8651,341 CSBATTLE_COIN0.73x
Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified$1,1871,840 CSBATTLE_COIN$8651,341 CSBATTLE_COIN0.73x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $8,328 (7.02x)