Candy Shop

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6,032.26
9,350 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
78.81%
240 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
144 openings · below min
30 days
240 openings · below min
since tracking started
240 openings · below min
-0.5%52.5%105.5%

Small sample. 240 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h621.63%±26.8—sample
7d14476.55%±28.5—sample
30d24078.81%±21.8—sample
All24078.81%±21.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Team LDLC.com (Holo) | Katowice 2014sticker · remarkable$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$69.2K107,296 CSBATTLE_COIN11.48x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$58.1K90,129 CSBATTLE_COIN9.64x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$58.1K90,129 CSBATTLE_COIN9.64x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$58.1K90,129 CSBATTLE_COIN9.64x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$54K83,691 CSBATTLE_COIN8.95x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$54K83,691 CSBATTLE_COIN8.95x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$23.5K36,481 CSBATTLE_COIN3.90x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$23.5K36,481 CSBATTLE_COIN3.90x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2Burt$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$23.5K36,481 CSBATTLE_COIN3.90x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$23.5K36,481 CSBATTLE_COIN3.90x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Bazooka Pink)graffiti · Graffiti$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.030.05 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Bazooka Pink)graffiti · Graffiti$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.030.05 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,0236,236 CSBATTLE_COIN0.67x
Sticker | Harp of War (Holo)sticker · Sticker$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,8075,900 CSBATTLE_COIN0.63x
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Bazooka Pink)graffiti · Graffiti$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.030.05 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Bazooka Pink)graffiti · Graffitipapo$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.030.05 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Bazooka Pink)graffiti · Graffiti$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.030.05 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$14.5K22,532 CSBATTLE_COIN2.41x
Sealed Graffiti | Recoil UMP-45 (Bazooka Pink)graffiti · Graffiti$6,0329,350 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.030.05 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $69.2K (11.48x)