Controller

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5,225.81
8,100 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
113.51%
108 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
18 openings · below min
30 days
108 openings · below min
since tracking started
108 openings · below min
18.0%113.5%209.0%

Small sample. 108 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1829.17%±0.66—sample
30d108113.51%±94.7—sample
All108113.51%±94.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$160K248,747 CSBATTLE_COIN30.71x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$160K248,747 CSBATTLE_COIN30.71x
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$160K248,747 CSBATTLE_COIN30.71x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covertRAITEKK$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6472,552 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covertlim jahey$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6472,552 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6472,552 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6472,552 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6472,552 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6472,552 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
AUG | Akihabara Accept (Factory New)weapon · covertdbpro313$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6342,532 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x

Latest dropsnewest first

AWP | The Prince (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4952,317 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5132,346 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
Souvenir M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5172,351 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
SCAR-20 | Splash Jam (Factory New)weapon · classified$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5362,381 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5362,380 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covertRAITEKK$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6472,552 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5362,380 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6162,505 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x
Souvenir Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Well-Worn)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5362,380 CSBATTLE_COIN0.29x
Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified$5,2268,100 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5572,413 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $160K (30.71x)