Flash

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$4,193.55
6,500 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
65.28%
60 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
36 openings · below min
30 days
60 openings · below min
since tracking started
60 openings · below min
14.0%69.3%124.5%

Small sample. 60 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3669.25%±54.8—sample
30d6065.28%±45.2—sample
All6065.28%±45.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | mousesports (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · Sticker$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$26.6K41,213 CSBATTLE_COIN6.34x
Sticker | mousesports (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · Sticker$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$26.6K41,213 CSBATTLE_COIN6.34x
Sticker | compLexity Gaming (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · Sticker$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$18K27,948 CSBATTLE_COIN4.30x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · Sticker$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$15.4K23,800 CSBATTLE_COIN3.66x
Sticker | LGB eSports (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · Sticker$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$15.4K23,800 CSBATTLE_COIN3.66x
★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,8525,971 CSBATTLE_COIN0.92x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$149231 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$70.23109 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$70.23109 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$70.23109 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$70.23109 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Gut Knife | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$70.23109 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$4,1946,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$149231 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $38.5K (9.18x)