Anniversary

A case on CSBattle, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,419.35
2,200 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.66%
18 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
18 openings · below min
30 days
18 openings · below min
since tracking started
18 openings · below min
66.5%85.8%105.0%

Small sample. 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d1885.66%±18.6—sample
30d1885.66%±18.6—sample
All1885.66%±18.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,4873,855 CSBATTLE_COIN1.75x
★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · legendary$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9573,033 CSBATTLE_COIN1.38x
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5772,444 CSBATTLE_COIN1.11x
AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4682,275 CSBATTLE_COIN1.03x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2111,878 CSBATTLE_COIN0.85x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2111,878 CSBATTLE_COIN0.85x
★ Classic Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0601,643 CSBATTLE_COIN0.75x
★ Classic Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0601,643 CSBATTLE_COIN0.75x

Latest dropsnewest first

Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,4873,855 CSBATTLE_COIN1.75x
★ Classic Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0601,643 CSBATTLE_COIN0.75x
★ Classic Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0601,643 CSBATTLE_COIN0.75x
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)gloves · legendary$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5772,444 CSBATTLE_COIN1.11x
★ Classic Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0601,643 CSBATTLE_COIN0.75x
★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covertKERVALA ♿$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$8421,306 CSBATTLE_COIN0.59x
M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · epic$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$571885 CSBATTLE_COIN0.40x
★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$8421,306 CSBATTLE_COIN0.59x
★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · #ffd700$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2111,878 CSBATTLE_COIN0.85x
M4A1-S | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · epichysty$1,4192,200 CSBATTLE_COIN$571885 CSBATTLE_COIN0.40x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,487 (1.75x)