River Valley
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$4,838.71
7,500 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.94%
30 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$24.9K38,626 CSBATTLE_COIN5.15x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.6K18,000 CSBATTLE_COIN2.40x
Sticker | Titan (Foil) | Katowice 2014sticker · Sticker$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$11K17,040 CSBATTLE_COIN2.27x
Sticker | Titan | Katowice 2014sticker · highGrizzly$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$5,8069,000 CSBATTLE_COIN1.20x
★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,4776,939 CSBATTLE_COIN0.93x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedGrizzly$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,8695,997 CSBATTLE_COIN0.80x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,0344,703 CSBATTLE_COIN0.63x
Latest dropsnewest first
Autograph Capsule | Counter Logic Gaming | Cologne 2016other · Autograph Capsule$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,6204,061 CSBATTLE_COIN0.54x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Sapphire$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$24.9K38,626 CSBATTLE_COIN5.15x
Souvenir Dual Berettas | Cobalt Quartz (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · restricted$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,6164,055 CSBATTLE_COIN0.54x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2773,529 CSBATTLE_COIN0.47x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedGrizzly$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,8695,997 CSBATTLE_COIN0.80x
★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,4776,939 CSBATTLE_COIN0.93x
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,5553,960 CSBATTLE_COIN0.53x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2773,529 CSBATTLE_COIN0.47x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$4,8397,500 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,2773,529 CSBATTLE_COIN0.47x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $24.9K (5.15x)