10% Fading Gold

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$6.85
10.62 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.20%
546 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
24 openings · below min
30 days
546 openings · below min
since tracking started
546 openings · below min
-0.5%166.5%333.5%

Small sample. 546 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6113.98%±218.8—sample
7d2430.26%±54.7—sample
30d54685.20%±70.4—sample
All54685.20%±70.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | s1mple (Gold) | Boston 2018sticker · Extraordinary$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2851,992 CSBATTLE_COIN187.6x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested)knife · gold$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$46.0571.38 CSBATTLE_COIN6.72x
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$6.8510.62 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,285 (187.6x)