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Gyat damn dragon

A case on CSBattle, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$39.46
61.16 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
37.44%
1,074 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
66 openings · below min
7 days
37.44%±21.211,074 openings
30 days
37.44%±21.211,074 openings
since tracking started
37.44%±21.211,074 openings
2.0%35.8%69.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6635.66%±33.2—sample
7d1,07437.44%±21.2—sample
30d1,07437.44%±21.2—sample
All1,07437.44%±21.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3196,695 CSBATTLE_COIN109.5x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$214331 CSBATTLE_COIN5.41x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$214331 CSBATTLE_COIN5.41x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violetAwesome$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred)StatTrak · weapon · violet$39.4661.16 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.450.69 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,319 (109.5x)