Tempered
A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1.61
2.5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
97.08%
2,107 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · rareTaoets$1.612.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$171266 CSBATTLE_COIN106.3x
★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · rareDWMTM$1.612.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$171266 CSBATTLE_COIN106.3x
★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · rare$1.612.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$171266 CSBATTLE_COIN106.3x
Desert Eagle | Starcade (Factory New)weapon · rare$1.612.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$87.40135 CSBATTLE_COIN54.19x
Latest dropsnewest first
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · uncommon$1.612.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.486.94 CSBATTLE_COIN2.78x
M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New)weapon · classifiedangerra$1.612.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$50.9178.91 CSBATTLE_COIN31.56x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $171 (106.3x)