Old Tales

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$43.23
67 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
102.91%
249 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
150 openings · below min
30 days
249 openings · below min
since tracking started
249 openings · below min
-0.5%124.8%250.0%

Small sample. 249 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18108.05%±141.2—sample
7d150104.35%±47.5—sample
30d249102.91%±33.7—sample
All249102.91%±33.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0771,670 CSBATTLE_COIN24.93x
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$561869 CSBATTLE_COIN12.97x
★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$536831 CSBATTLE_COIN12.40x
★ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$536831 CSBATTLE_COIN12.40x

Latest dropsnewest first

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$561869 CSBATTLE_COIN12.97x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$87.75136 CSBATTLE_COIN2.03x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restrictedCode jumiii$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)weapon · restricted$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.047.81 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,077 (24.93x)