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Moon

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$17.42
27 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
85.16%
780 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
64 openings · below min
7 days
648 openings · below min
30 days
780 openings · below min
since tracking started
780 openings · below min
17.0%66.8%116.5%

Small sample. 780 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h6436.03%±18.4—sample
7d64889.83%±26.0—sample
30d78085.16%±22.3—sample
All78085.16%±22.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New)gloves · #eb4b4b$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$6841,061 CSBATTLE_COIN39.28x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$598927 CSBATTLE_COIN34.35x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)weapon · covert$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$598927 CSBATTLE_COIN34.35x
★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert knife$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$571886 CSBATTLE_COIN32.80x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$36.7756.99 CSBATTLE_COIN2.11x
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classifiedbandits$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New)weapon · covert$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$36.7756.99 CSBATTLE_COIN2.11x
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x
FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$17.4227 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.263.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.13x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $684 (39.28x)