Fade Away

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$29.03
45 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.38%
1,076 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
62 openings · below min
7 days
866 openings · below min
30 days
92.38%±16.961,076 openings
since tracking started
92.38%±16.961,076 openings
14.0%156.5%299.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h62156.45%±141.8—sample
7d86692.53%±19.2—sample
30d1,07692.38%±17.0—sample
All1,07692.38%±17.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0771,670 CSBATTLE_COIN37.11x
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$590914 CSBATTLE_COIN20.32x
★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$554859 CSBATTLE_COIN19.09x
★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$554859 CSBATTLE_COIN19.09x
★ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$554859 CSBATTLE_COIN19.09x
★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$546847 CSBATTLE_COIN18.82x

Latest dropsnewest first

R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertBluecode02222$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertBluecode02222$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
R8 Revolver | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$29.0345 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.617.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,077 (37.11x)