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Guaranteed 10% knife

A case on CSBattle, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$8.68
13.45 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
867.56%
10 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
10 openings · below min
30 days
10 openings · below min
since tracking started
10 openings · below min
-0.5%972.0%1944.5%

Small sample. 10 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d10867.56%±1076.3—sample
30d10867.56%±1076.3—sample
All10867.56%±1076.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$490760 CSBATTLE_COIN56.51x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested)knife · #ffd700$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$38.7760.1 CSBATTLE_COIN4.47x
Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Well-Worn)knife · covert$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$42.2065.41 CSBATTLE_COIN4.86x
★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knifeEl kc$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$113174 CSBATTLE_COIN12.97x
Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Field-Tested)knife · gold$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$490760 CSBATTLE_COIN56.51x
Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Rio 2022 Contenders Sticker Capsulecontainer · Base Grade$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
★ Bowie Knife | Lore (Field-Tested)knife · goldEl kc$8.6813.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$68.17106 CSBATTLE_COIN7.86x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $490 (56.51x)