Red River

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$77.42
120 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
83.48%
99 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
34 openings · below min
30 days
99 openings · below min
since tracking started
99 openings · below min
61.0%79.8%98.5%

Small sample. 99 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1867.23%±5.34—sample
7d3480.00%±13.1—sample
30d9983.48%±14.2—sample
All9983.48%±14.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified★Rogerfg104★$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$518803 CSBATTLE_COIN6.69x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$53.4182.79 CSBATTLE_COIN0.69x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN0.56x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$45.1670 CSBATTLE_COIN0.58x
Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Factory New)weapon · Industrial Grade$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$45.1670 CSBATTLE_COIN0.58x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN0.56x
StatTrak™ P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · classified$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$53.4182.79 CSBATTLE_COIN0.69x
StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$43.2367 CSBATTLE_COIN0.56x
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$59.3892.04 CSBATTLE_COIN0.77x
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · classified$77.42120 CSBATTLE_COIN$54.8485 CSBATTLE_COIN0.71x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $518 (6.69x)