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Big wins
Upgrader$1,4602.07xSan Quentin 2: Death Row$28.1K80.00xRoobet Roulette$1,4403.39xSweet Bonanza$6,1221.53xCandy Dash$1,5743.15xBlackjack$1,1052.00xDay Zero Outbreak$3,3455.57xLazy Vampire$1,5404.30xRise of Agartha$11.4K2.29xOlympus Sweets$12K10.00xKeno$1,0001.60xDawn Bringer$135315.0xMines$1,0422.45xRoulette$72.1K5.14xWheel$12.3K1.20xCase Battles$1,4722.30xVIP Blackjack 3$10K2.00xSweet Rush Bonanza$1,91519.15xTome of Madness$95.83136.9xBlackjack$12.8K2.00xKeno$1,2502.00xRune Beasts Sharp Peaks$71.55169.8xHigh Elf$1,8029.00xSalon Privé Baccarat D$3,0022.00x

macieja_3%

A case on CSBattle, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$8.61
13.34 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
232.77%
100 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
100 openings · below min
30 days
100 openings · below min
since tracking started
100 openings · below min
-0.5%238.0%476.5%

Small sample. 100 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d100232.77%±242.9—sample
30d100232.77%±242.9—sample
All100232.77%±242.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3)StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$8041,246 CSBATTLE_COIN93.44x
M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$633982 CSBATTLE_COIN73.61x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9elusive$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9elusive$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · #B0C3D9$8.6113.34 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $804 (93.44x)