Halloween 5%

A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$36.06
55.9 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
98.18%
42 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
42 openings · below min
30 days
42 openings · below min
since tracking started
42 openings · below min
-0.5%99.3%199.0%

Small sample. 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d4298.18%±100.0—sample
30d4298.18%±100.0—sample
All4298.18%±100.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Sticker | Team Dignitas | Katowice 2014sticker · high$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$550853 CSBATTLE_COIN15.25x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | FlyQuest (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024sticker · Sticker$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | FlyQuest (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024sticker · Sticker$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | FlyQuest (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024sticker · Sticker$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | FlyQuest (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024sticker · Sticker$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Clown Nosesticker · #4b69ff$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.190.29 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Clown Nosesticker · #4b69ffMARCEL$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.190.29 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | FlyQuest (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024sticker · Sticker$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | Fnatic | Katowice 2014sticker · High Grade$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$304471 CSBATTLE_COIN8.42x
Sticker | Clown Nosesticker · #4b69ffMARCEL$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.190.29 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sticker | FlyQuest (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024sticker · Sticker$36.0655.9 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.350.55 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $550 (15.25x)