Full Tilted

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$80.65
125 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
78.29%
188 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
24 openings · below min
7 days
158 openings · below min
30 days
188 openings · below min
since tracking started
188 openings · below min
-0.5%106.0%212.5%

Small sample. 188 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2499.88%±112.0—sample
7d15877.19%±37.5—sample
30d18878.29%±33.6—sample
All18878.29%±33.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,8702,899 CSBATTLE_COIN23.19x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · gold · Ruby$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0941,695 CSBATTLE_COIN13.56x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covertMUNKHOLM$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$7591,177 CSBATTLE_COIN9.41x
M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$7591,177 CSBATTLE_COIN9.41x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$560868 CSBATTLE_COIN6.95x

Latest dropsnewest first

Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | donk Triple Killcharm · Highlight$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.7018.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | donk Triple Killcharm · Highlight$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.7018.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
M4A4 | Full Throttle (Factory New)weapon · epic$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$342530 CSBATTLE_COIN4.24x
Sticker | donk (Gold) | Budapest 2025sticker · Ancient$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.7155.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.44x
Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | donk Triple Killcharm · Highlight$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.7018.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | donk Triple Killcharm · HighlightHAKAO$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.7018.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | donk Triple Killcharm · Highlight$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.7018.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
Sticker | donk (Gold) | Budapest 2025sticker · Ancient$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.7155.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.44x
Charm | Austin 2025 Highlight | donk Triple Killcharm · Highlight$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$11.7018.14 CSBATTLE_COIN0.15x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · gold · Ruby$80.65125 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0941,695 CSBATTLE_COIN13.56x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,870 (23.19x)