Carnage

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$2.87
4.45 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
77.30%
1,395 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
101 openings · below min
7 days
999 openings · below min
30 days
77.30%±12.831,395 openings
since tracking started
77.30%±12.831,395 openings
39.0%68.0%97.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10160.10%±20.6—sample
7d99980.52%±15.9—sample
30d1,39577.30%±12.8—sample
All1,39577.30%±12.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$153238 CSBATTLE_COIN53.46x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.981.52 CSBATTLE_COIN0.34x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.981.52 CSBATTLE_COIN0.34x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.981.52 CSBATTLE_COIN0.34x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.981.52 CSBATTLE_COIN0.34x
Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.290.45 CSBATTLE_COIN0.10x
Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Brick Red)graffiti · GraffitiDemian$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.290.45 CSBATTLE_COIN0.10x
Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New)weapon · classified$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$21.2132.88 CSBATTLE_COIN7.39x
Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.465.36 CSBATTLE_COIN1.20x
StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · milspec$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.981.52 CSBATTLE_COIN0.34x
Sealed Graffiti | Choke (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$2.874.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.290.45 CSBATTLE_COIN0.10x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $153 (53.46x)