Time Travel

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$741.94
1,150 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
63.85%
18 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
18 openings · below min
since tracking started
18 openings · below min
-0.5%54.5%109.5%

Small sample. 18 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h651.69%±57.3—sample
7d651.69%±57.3—sample
30d1863.85%±34.3—sample
All1863.85%±34.3—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New)weapon · covert$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0653,201 CSBATTLE_COIN2.78x
Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4222,205 CSBATTLE_COIN1.92x
Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014sticker · high★Rogerfg104★$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1561,791 CSBATTLE_COIN1.56x
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$596924 CSBATTLE_COIN0.80x
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$596924 CSBATTLE_COIN0.80x
Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New)weapon · rare$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$596924 CSBATTLE_COIN0.80x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014sticker · high$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$439680 CSBATTLE_COIN0.59x
Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4222,205 CSBATTLE_COIN1.92x
M4A1-S | Master Piece (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$254394 CSBATTLE_COIN0.34x
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$61.9095.94 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$61.9095.94 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New)weapon · industrial0.72 r$7421,150 CSBATTLE_COIN$61.9095.94 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,065 (2.78x)