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Ultra Wild

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$32.26
50 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
105.10%
330 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
36 openings · below min
7 days
162 openings · below min
30 days
330 openings · below min
since tracking started
330 openings · below min
26.0%86.8%147.5%

Small sample. 330 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h3638.29%±11.8—sample
7d162107.29%±39.8—sample
30d330105.10%±32.1—sample
All330105.10%±32.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

MP9 | Wild Lily (Well-Worn)weapon · classified$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3112,032 CSBATTLE_COIN40.64x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covertits what goodboys do$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$6641,029 CSBATTLE_COIN20.58x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$18.0628 CSBATTLE_COIN0.56x
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · classified$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$22.4134.74 CSBATTLE_COIN0.69x
USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$18.0628 CSBATTLE_COIN0.56x
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)weapon · uncommon$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.147.96 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)weapon · uncommon$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.147.96 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)weapon · uncommonLightbubbly$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.147.96 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)weapon · classified$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$18.0628 CSBATTLE_COIN0.56x
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)weapon · uncommon$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.147.96 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)weapon · uncommon$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.147.96 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)weapon · uncommon$32.2650 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.147.96 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,311 (40.64x)