Spud's 1% Dream
A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$5.16
8 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
156.17%
411 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 411 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · #ffd700 · Phase 4$5.168 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2711,970 CSBATTLE_COIN246.2x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · #ffd700 · Phase 4$5.168 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2711,970 CSBATTLE_COIN246.2x
★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · epicKutt$5.168 CSBATTLE_COIN$553857 CSBATTLE_COIN107.1x
Latest dropsnewest first
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $1,271 (246.2x)