DRAGON LURE
A case on CSBattle, first seen 8 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$17.22
26.69 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
75.32%
858 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 858 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Field-Tested)Souvenir · weapon · covert$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,0156,223 CSBATTLE_COIN233.1x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$7941,230 CSBATTLE_COIN46.09x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$7941,230 CSBATTLE_COIN46.09x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$7941,230 CSBATTLE_COIN46.09x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$7941,230 CSBATTLE_COIN46.09x
★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Lore (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$7941,230 CSBATTLE_COIN46.09x
Latest dropsnewest first
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$76.18118 CSBATTLE_COIN4.42x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph CapsuleAwesome$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Antwerp 2022 Legends Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$17.2226.69 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $4,015 (233.1x)