Survival instinct

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$15.16
23.5 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.74%
773 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
123 openings · below min
7 days
570 openings · below min
30 days
773 openings · below min
since tracking started
773 openings · below min
45.5%91.8%138.0%

Small sample. 773 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12391.83%±45.6—sample
7d57081.18%±16.6—sample
30d77384.74%±14.7—sample
All77384.74%±14.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

No drops yetNo drop from this case seen yet.

Latest dropsnewest first

Glock-18 | Ghost Protocol (Well-Worn)weapon · covert$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$79.23123 CSBATTLE_COIN5.23x
Slingshot | Phoenixagent · violet$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.627.16 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x
SSG 08 | Red Stone (Field-Tested)weapon · common$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.465.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.23x
SSG 08 | Red Stone (Field-Tested)weapon · common$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.465.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.23x
SSG 08 | Red Stone (Field-Tested)weapon · common$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.465.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.23x
SSG 08 | Red Stone (Field-Tested)weapon · commonProjectTransparency 1000C LB$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.465.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.23x
SSG 08 | Red Stone (Field-Tested)weapon · common$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.465.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.23x
Slingshot | Phoenixagent · violet$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$4.627.16 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x
MP9 | Setting Sun (Minimal Wear)weapon · mil spec$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.3816.09 CSBATTLE_COIN0.68x
SSG 08 | Red Stone (Field-Tested)weapon · commonProjectTransparency 1000C LB$15.1623.5 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.465.36 CSBATTLE_COIN0.23x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit —