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chasing dlore

A case on CSBattle, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.63
19.58 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
66.47%
370 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
346 openings · below min
30 days
370 openings · below min
since tracking started
370 openings · below min
12.0%70.5%129.0%

Small sample. 370 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d34670.99%±57.4—sample
30d37066.47%±53.7—sample
All37066.47%±53.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN51.08x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN51.08x
AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$6451,000 CSBATTLE_COIN51.08x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspecAwesome$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sawed-Off | Origami (Battle-Scarred)weapon · milspec$12.6319.58 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $645 (51.08x)