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Toxic Smog

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1.29
2 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
91.38%
2,709 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
257 openings · below min
7 days
87.01%±14.992,182 openings
30 days
91.38%±14.802,709 openings
since tracking started
91.38%±14.802,709 openings
59.0%88.3%117.5%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h25788.21%±28.8—sample
7d2,18287.01%±15.0—sample
30d2,70991.38%±14.8—sample
All2,70991.38%±14.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · Ancient$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$187290 CSBATTLE_COIN145.2x
★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$124193 CSBATTLE_COIN96.48x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.260.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.260.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear)weapon · restricted$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.771.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.60x
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.260.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.260.4 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
Sticker | Toxicsticker · bluedem0n$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.150.23 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
Sticker | Toxicsticker · blue$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.150.23 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
Sticker | Toxicsticker · blue$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.150.23 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested)weapon · restricted$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.211.87 CSBATTLE_COIN0.94x
Sticker | Toxicsticker · blue$1.292 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.150.23 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $187 (145.2x)