5goatcase

A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$58.22
90.24 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
420.85%
6 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
6 openings · below min
30 days
6 openings · below min
since tracking started
6 openings · below min
-0.5%490.8%982.0%

Small sample. 6 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d6420.85%±560.7—sample
30d6420.85%±560.7—sample
All6420.85%±560.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$58.2290.24 CSBATTLE_COIN$9721,507 CSBATTLE_COIN16.70x

Latest dropsnewest first

Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$58.2290.24 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$58.2290.24 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph Capsule$58.2290.24 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Well-Worn)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$58.2290.24 CSBATTLE_COIN$9721,507 CSBATTLE_COIN16.70x
Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014sticker · high$58.2290.24 CSBATTLE_COIN$497771 CSBATTLE_COIN8.54x
Shanghai 2024 Contenders Autograph Capsulecontainer · Autograph CapsuleMARCEL$58.2290.24 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $972 (16.70x)