Fly

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$21.94
34 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.55%
817 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
48 openings · below min
7 days
556 openings · below min
30 days
817 openings · below min
since tracking started
817 openings · below min
-0.5%67.0%134.5%

Small sample. 817 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h4851.76%±66.7—sample
7d55696.38%±37.4—sample
30d81790.55%±28.9—sample
All81790.55%±28.9—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Factory New)gloves · legendary$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2751,976 CSBATTLE_COIN58.13x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covertCode jumiii$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$8831,368 CSBATTLE_COIN40.23x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$8831,368 CSBATTLE_COIN40.23x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$534828 CSBATTLE_COIN24.36x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$534828 CSBATTLE_COIN24.36x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$534828 CSBATTLE_COIN24.36x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$534828 CSBATTLE_COIN24.36x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$534828 CSBATTLE_COIN24.36x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$534828 CSBATTLE_COIN24.36x
★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · #ffd700 · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$534828 CSBATTLE_COIN24.36x

Latest dropsnewest first

AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$308477 CSBATTLE_COIN14.04x
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
G3SG1 | Chronos (Field-Tested)weapon · restrictedDiesdas$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$192298 CSBATTLE_COIN8.76x
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x
AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred)weapon · restricted$21.9434 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.971.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.04x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,275 (58.13x)