Ninja

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$25.16
39 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
127.04%
922 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
124 openings · below min
7 days
590 openings · below min
30 days
922 openings · below min
since tracking started
922 openings · below min
14.5%105.7%197.0%

Small sample. 922 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12494.38%±79.2—sample
7d590130.09%±66.1—sample
30d922127.04%±47.7—sample
All922127.04%±47.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,2746,625 CSBATTLE_COIN169.9x
★ Sport Gloves | Nocts (Factory New)gloves · legendary$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5912,466 CSBATTLE_COIN63.24x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0381,609 CSBATTLE_COIN41.24x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0381,609 CSBATTLE_COIN41.24x
★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)StatTrak · knife · covert$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0381,609 CSBATTLE_COIN41.24x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$8031,245 CSBATTLE_COIN31.93x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$8031,245 CSBATTLE_COIN31.93x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$8031,245 CSBATTLE_COIN31.93x

Latest dropsnewest first

P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrialDiesdas$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Field-Tested)gloves · rare$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$156242 CSBATTLE_COIN6.22x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
P250 | Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear)weapon · industrial$25.1639 CSBATTLE_COIN$2.814.35 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,274 (169.9x)