Chosen

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$34.84
54 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
90.49%
567 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
59 openings · below min
7 days
441 openings · below min
30 days
567 openings · below min
since tracking started
567 openings · below min
26.0%89.8%153.5%

Small sample. 567 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h5989.60%±63.0—sample
7d44193.85%±25.1—sample
30d56790.49%±20.7—sample
All56790.49%±20.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$7161,109 CSBATTLE_COIN20.54x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$7161,109 CSBATTLE_COIN20.54x
AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$7161,109 CSBATTLE_COIN20.54x
★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$576893 CSBATTLE_COIN16.54x
★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$576893 CSBATTLE_COIN16.54x

Latest dropsnewest first

Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Souvenir SSG 08 | Death Strike (Battle-Scarred)Souvenir · weapon · Classified$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$94.19146 CSBATTLE_COIN2.70x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · PatchCode jumiii$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x
Patch | Metal The Global Elite ★patch · Patch$34.8454 CSBATTLE_COIN$5.798.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.17x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $716 (20.54x)