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The predator

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$44.52
69 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
99.69%
435 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
172 openings · below min
7 days
376 openings · below min
30 days
435 openings · below min
since tracking started
435 openings · below min
-0.5%139.3%279.0%

Small sample. 435 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h172127.28%±150.9—sample
7d376102.42%±80.2—sample
30d43599.69%±70.7—sample
All43599.69%±70.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$5,5008,524 CSBATTLE_COIN123.5x
Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014sticker · highAwesome$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9714,604 CSBATTLE_COIN66.73x
Negev | Mjölnir (Factory New)weapon · classified$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6722,592 CSBATTLE_COIN37.56x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0751,666 CSBATTLE_COIN24.15x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0751,666 CSBATTLE_COIN24.15x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0161,575 CSBATTLE_COIN22.82x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0161,575 CSBATTLE_COIN22.82x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN20.29x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN20.29x
Sticker | Howling Dawnsticker · contraband$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$9031,400 CSBATTLE_COIN20.29x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · RareKickDegendoc$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · RareKickDegendoc$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x
Sticker | MTS GameGod Wolf | Cologne 2014sticker · Rare$44.5269 CSBATTLE_COIN$3.235 CSBATTLE_COIN0.07x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $5,500 (123.5x)