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Wireframe

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$58.71
91 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
81.01%
398 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
108 openings · below min
7 days
246 openings · below min
30 days
398 openings · below min
since tracking started
398 openings · below min
37.0%76.5%116.0%

Small sample. 398 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h10860.41%±22.8—sample
7d24680.79%±34.4—sample
30d39881.01%±25.6—sample
All39881.01%±25.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Souvenir AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · Rifles$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,1063,265 CSBATTLE_COIN35.88x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$9591,486 CSBATTLE_COIN16.33x
AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New)weapon · covert$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$9591,486 CSBATTLE_COIN16.33x
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN11.67x
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN11.67x
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN11.67x
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN11.67x
★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)knife · covert$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6851,062 CSBATTLE_COIN11.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7810.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
Elite Trapper Solman | Guerrilla Warfareagent · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$18.8429.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
Elite Trapper Solman | Guerrilla Warfareagent · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$18.8429.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
Elite Trapper Solman | Guerrilla Warfareagent · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$18.8429.2 CSBATTLE_COIN0.32x
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7810.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pinkDiesdas$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7810.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7810.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7810.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)weapon · pink$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$6.7810.51 CSBATTLE_COIN0.12x
Sticker | Flammable (Foil)sticker · exotic$58.7191 CSBATTLE_COIN$49.9077.34 CSBATTLE_COIN0.85x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,106 (35.88x)