Black Orchid

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$67.74
105 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
69.87%
504 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
22 openings · below min
7 days
286 openings · below min
30 days
504 openings · below min
since tracking started
504 openings · below min
13.5%54.0%94.5%

Small sample. 504 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2214.35%±0.00—sample
7d28652.35%±28.3—sample
30d50469.87%±23.8—sample
All50469.87%±23.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New)weapon · classified$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5002,325 CSBATTLE_COIN22.14x
MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2391,920 CSBATTLE_COIN18.29x
MP9 | Wild Lily (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2391,920 CSBATTLE_COIN18.29x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1291,750 CSBATTLE_COIN16.67x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1291,750 CSBATTLE_COIN16.67x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9541,478 CSBATTLE_COIN14.08x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9541,478 CSBATTLE_COIN14.08x
StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · covert$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$6751,046 CSBATTLE_COIN9.96x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrialGud$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x
M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Field-Tested)weapon · industrial$67.74105 CSBATTLE_COIN$9.7215.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.14x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,894 (27.96x)