The Box

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$81.94
127 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
93.77%
262 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
162 openings · below min
30 days
262 openings · below min
since tracking started
262 openings · below min
34.5%172.8%311.0%

Small sample. 262 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18172.87%±137.7—sample
7d16286.91%±28.0—sample
30d26293.77%±22.0—sample
All26293.77%±22.0—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

Latest dropsnewest first

G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.8819.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.8819.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Battle-Scarred)gloves · legendary$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$355551 CSBATTLE_COIN4.34x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.5455.09 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.5455.09 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x
★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2)knife · covert · Phase 2$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$205318 CSBATTLE_COIN2.50x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · covert$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$35.5455.09 CSBATTLE_COIN0.43x
G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Field-Tested)weapon · mil spec$81.94127 CSBATTLE_COIN$12.8819.97 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $951 (11.60x)