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Archduke

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$90.32
140 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
80.12%
184 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
90 openings · below min
30 days
184 openings · below min
since tracking started
184 openings · below min
39.0%98.8%158.5%

Small sample. 184 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h1898.88%±59.1—sample
7d9092.43%±43.0—sample
30d18480.12%±23.1—sample
All18480.12%±23.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5722,437 CSBATTLE_COIN17.41x
★ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)knife · covert$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$572886 CSBATTLE_COIN6.33x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$33.5051.92 CSBATTLE_COIN0.37x
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$14.7722.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
AWP | Fade (Factory New)weapon · covert$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$431668 CSBATTLE_COIN4.77x
★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)knife · epic$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$343531 CSBATTLE_COIN3.79x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$33.5051.92 CSBATTLE_COIN0.37x
★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred)gloves · extraordinaryGud$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$64.4699.92 CSBATTLE_COIN0.71x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$33.5051.92 CSBATTLE_COIN0.37x
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$14.7722.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x
★ Bayonet | Lore (Battle-Scarred)knife · covert$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$123190 CSBATTLE_COIN1.36x
AK-47 | The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred)weapon · rare$90.32140 CSBATTLE_COIN$14.7722.89 CSBATTLE_COIN0.16x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,572 (17.41x)