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5 KNIFE DREAM

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$12.24
18.97 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
394.27%
42 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
30 openings · below min
30 days
42 openings · below min
since tracking started
42 openings · below min
-0.5%547.5%1095.5%

Small sample. 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d3012.06%±21.1—sample
30d42394.27%±700.5—sample
All42394.27%±700.5—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · RubyTXPLAYS$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,8362,846 CSBATTLE_COIN150.0x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · knife · covert knife$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$39.6261.41 CSBATTLE_COIN3.24x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · GraffitiPhat Pausay$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · Graffiti$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x
Sealed Graffiti | Goofy (Brick Red)graffiti · GraffitiPhat Pausay$12.2418.97 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.01x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,836 (150.0x)