Sapphire Strike

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$287.10
445 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
92.99%
120 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
66 openings · below min
30 days
120 openings · below min
since tracking started
120 openings · below min
6.0%160.3%314.5%

Small sample. 120 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18160.19%±153.5—sample
7d6682.98%±51.3—sample
30d12092.99%±40.7—sample
All12092.99%±40.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,7445,803 CSBATTLE_COIN13.04x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9104,511 CSBATTLE_COIN10.14x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9104,511 CSBATTLE_COIN10.14x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,3673,669 CSBATTLE_COIN8.24x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,3673,669 CSBATTLE_COIN8.24x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4)knife · covert · Phase 4$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,8352,844 CSBATTLE_COIN6.39x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · legendary · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3902,154 CSBATTLE_COIN4.84x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,1551,790 CSBATTLE_COIN4.02x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · legendary · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3902,154 CSBATTLE_COIN4.84x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covertHydrarewards.com$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,9104,511 CSBATTLE_COIN10.14x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x
M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested)weapon · covert$287445 CSBATTLE_COIN$31.9649.54 CSBATTLE_COIN0.11x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $3,744 (13.04x)