Crimson Overdrive

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price

$345.16

535 CSBATTLE_COIN

Advertised RTP

—

no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d

79.92%

66 openings, sample method

Variance

—

needs odds

Tail share

—

needs odds

Below price

—

needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample

24 hours

24 openings · below min

7 days

60 openings · below min

30 days

66 openings · below min

since tracking started

66 openings · below min

52.0%87.3%122.5%

Small sample. 66 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

Window	Openings	Observed	Dev.	Method
24h	24	87.36%±34.5	—	sample
7d	60	82.98%±24.1	—	sample
30d	66	79.92%±22.4	—	sample
All	66	79.92%±22.4	—	sample

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · legendary · RubyHydrarewards.com$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,6772,600 CSBATTLE_COIN4.86x5d

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$9621,492 CSBATTLE_COIN2.79x1h

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$9621,492 CSBATTLE_COIN2.79x2d

★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$8161,264 CSBATTLE_COIN2.36x2h

★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$8161,264 CSBATTLE_COIN2.36x4d

M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · classified$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$7291,130 CSBATTLE_COIN2.11x5d

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$6831,058 CSBATTLE_COIN1.98x2h

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$6831,058 CSBATTLE_COIN1.98x2d

Latest dropsnewest first

All →

★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$168261 CSBATTLE_COIN0.49x1h

AUG | Hot Rod (Factory New)weapon · mil spec$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$202313 CSBATTLE_COIN0.59x1h

★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$168261 CSBATTLE_COIN0.49x1h

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$9621,492 CSBATTLE_COIN2.79x1h

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot (Battle-Scarred)gloves · sunnyHydrarewards.com$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$102158 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x1h

★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$454703 CSBATTLE_COIN1.31x2h

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$6831,058 CSBATTLE_COIN1.98x2h

★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$8161,264 CSBATTLE_COIN2.36x2h

★ Bayonet | Slaughter (Minimal Wear)knife · covert$345535 CSBATTLE_COIN$168261 CSBATTLE_COIN0.49x2h

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

Captured	Price	Advertised	Items

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $1,677 (4.86x)