Secret Reserve

A case on CSBattle, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$390.32
605 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
111.70%
40 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
40 openings · below min
7 days
40 openings · below min
30 days
40 openings · below min
since tracking started
40 openings · below min
74.0%111.8%149.5%

Small sample. 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h40111.70%±37.2—sample
7d40111.70%±37.2—sample
30d40111.70%±37.2—sample
All40111.70%±37.2—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,1873,390 CSBATTLE_COIN5.60x
MP9 | Wild Lily (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,2571,949 CSBATTLE_COIN3.22x
AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn)weapon · covertTHE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0421,615 CSBATTLE_COIN2.67x
AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendary$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0321,600 CSBATTLE_COIN2.64x
AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendary$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0321,600 CSBATTLE_COIN2.64x
AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendary$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0321,600 CSBATTLE_COIN2.64x
M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear)weapon · classifiedTHE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$8681,345 CSBATTLE_COIN2.22x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$7331,136 CSBATTLE_COIN1.88x
Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New)weapon · restricted$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$7331,136 CSBATTLE_COIN1.88x

Latest dropsnewest first

M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)weapon · epic$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$93.83145 CSBATTLE_COIN0.24x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Pistols$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$119185 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x
★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,1873,390 CSBATTLE_COIN5.60x
AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendary$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0321,600 CSBATTLE_COIN2.64x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Minimal Wear)Souvenir · weapon · Pistols$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$119185 CSBATTLE_COIN0.31x
AWP | The Prince (Well-Worn)weapon · legendary$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0321,600 CSBATTLE_COIN2.64x
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn)weapon · covertTHE BIG O @bandit Rustyloot$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$32.3750.17 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
M4A1-S | Fade (Factory New)weapon · epic$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$93.83145 CSBATTLE_COIN0.24x
M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear)weapon · classified$390605 CSBATTLE_COIN$593920 CSBATTLE_COIN1.52x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily
No data in this window

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,187 (5.60x)