Blood Moon
A case on CSBattle, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.
Price
$1,064.52
1,650 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
123.92%
74 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds
Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker
observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
Small sample. 74 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.
Windowsthe test per window
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).
Items, odds and valuesnone published
No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.
Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contraband$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,02413,987 CSBATTLE_COIN8.48x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contrabandGrizzly$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,02413,987 CSBATTLE_COIN8.48x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · contrabandHeizo$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,02413,987 CSBATTLE_COIN8.48x
★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyGrizzly$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,50910,089 CSBATTLE_COIN6.11x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)gloves · extraordinaryHeizo$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$5,6228,714 CSBATTLE_COIN5.28x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,6387,189 CSBATTLE_COIN4.36x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,6387,189 CSBATTLE_COIN4.36x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,6387,189 CSBATTLE_COIN4.36x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,2476,582 CSBATTLE_COIN3.99x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyHeizo$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,2476,582 CSBATTLE_COIN3.99x
Latest dropsnewest first
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$235365 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$235365 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$235365 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,6387,189 CSBATTLE_COIN4.36x
★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)knife · covert$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$235365 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary0.72 r$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$65.91102 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,3123,584 CSBATTLE_COIN2.17x
★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,3123,584 CSBATTLE_COIN2.17x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$65.91102 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Field-Tested)gloves · extraordinary$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN$65.91102 CSBATTLE_COIN0.06x
Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days
Observed RTP, daily
Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture
| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
|---|
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.
listedbest hit $9,024 (8.48x)