Blue or Red?

A case on CSBattle, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$1,290.32
2,000 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
84.22%
192 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
192 openings · below min
30 days
192 openings · below min
since tracking started
192 openings · below min
66.0%84.3%102.5%

Small sample. 192 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d19284.22%±17.7—sample
30d19284.22%±17.7—sample
All19284.22%±17.7—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Rubyhysty$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · RubyHeizo$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,3826,791 CSBATTLE_COIN3.40x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$284440 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$284440 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,2006,509 CSBATTLE_COIN3.25x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$284440 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$284440 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Emperor (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$257398 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$284440 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$284440 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · coverthysty$1,2902,000 CSBATTLE_COIN$284440 CSBATTLE_COIN0.22x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $4,382 (3.40x)