1%

A case on CSBattle, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$5.55
8.61 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
132.99%
259 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
259 openings · below min
30 days
259 openings · below min
since tracking started
259 openings · below min
13.0%133.0%253.0%

Small sample. 259 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d259132.99%±119.4—sample
30d259132.99%±119.4—sample
All259132.99%±119.4—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Stained (Well-Worn)knife · covert$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$582902 CSBATTLE_COIN104.7x
★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Field-Tested)knife · covert knife$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$452700 CSBATTLE_COIN81.31x
SSG 08 | Death Strike (Field-Tested)weapon · classified$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$323501 CSBATTLE_COIN58.15x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x
Sealed Graffiti | Denied (Tracer Yellow)graffiti · Graffiti$5.558.61 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.160.25 CSBATTLE_COIN0.03x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $582 (104.7x)