Fire Blast

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$322.58
500 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
107.02%
42 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
7 days
36 openings · below min
30 days
42 openings · below min
since tracking started
42 openings · below min
55.5%117.3%179.0%

Small sample. 42 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h0———
7d36120.36%±58.2—sample
30d42107.02%±50.8—sample
All42107.02%±50.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · gold · Ruby$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,8494,416 CSBATTLE_COIN8.83x
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5882,461 CSBATTLE_COIN4.92x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4782,290 CSBATTLE_COIN4.58x
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New)gloves · legendary$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,0651,650 CSBATTLE_COIN3.30x
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covertHydrarewards.com$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$7391,145 CSBATTLE_COIN2.29x
★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$7391,145 CSBATTLE_COIN2.29x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$566877 CSBATTLE_COIN1.75x

Latest dropsnewest first

StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$98.15152 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x
Souvenir Glock-18 | Candy Apple (Factory New)Souvenir · weapon · mil spec$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$566877 CSBATTLE_COIN1.75x
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$98.15152 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$64.2199.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$98.15152 CSBATTLE_COIN0.30x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covertHydrarewards.com$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$64.2199.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)knife · legendary$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,4782,290 CSBATTLE_COIN4.58x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$64.2199.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x
StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$447692 CSBATTLE_COIN1.38x
Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New)weapon · covert$323500 CSBATTLE_COIN$64.2199.53 CSBATTLE_COIN0.20x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $2,849 (8.83x)