No Fear

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$503.23
780 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
122.41%
116 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
6 openings · below min
7 days
54 openings · below min
30 days
116 openings · below min
since tracking started
116 openings · below min
-0.5%114.5%229.5%

Small sample. 116 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h60.08%±0.00—sample
7d54123.98%±104.8—sample
30d116122.41%±61.6—sample
All116122.41%±61.6—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,76013,578 CSBATTLE_COIN17.41x
★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,44413,088 CSBATTLE_COIN16.78x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,48510,051 CSBATTLE_COIN12.89x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear)weapon · legendary$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,4409,981 CSBATTLE_COIN12.80x
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$5,2068,070 CSBATTLE_COIN10.35x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,6777,249 CSBATTLE_COIN9.29x
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Minimal Wear)gloves · extraordinary$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,6777,249 CSBATTLE_COIN9.29x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · legendary · Ruby$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$4,2266,550 CSBATTLE_COIN8.40x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covertTAPI-TAPI$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,1484,879 CSBATTLE_COIN6.26x
AWP | Medusa (Factory New)weapon · covert$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,1484,879 CSBATTLE_COIN6.26x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · highSharkyGambles$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear)weapon · covert$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,76013,578 CSBATTLE_COIN17.41x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Fearsomesticker · high$503780 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.410.64 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $8,760 (17.41x)