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Race to Death

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$806.45
1,250 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
55.26%
86 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
26 openings · below min
7 days
60 openings · below min
30 days
86 openings · below min
since tracking started
86 openings · below min
-0.5%107.8%216.0%

Small sample. 86 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h2691.68%±123.6—sample
7d6065.68%±64.0—sample
30d8655.26%±45.8—sample
All8655.26%±45.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$13K20,139 CSBATTLE_COIN16.11x
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,43913,080 CSBATTLE_COIN10.46x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classified$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,7484,260 CSBATTLE_COIN3.41x
AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New)weapon · classifiedTAPI-TAPI$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,7484,260 CSBATTLE_COIN3.41x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0503,178 CSBATTLE_COIN2.54x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0503,178 CSBATTLE_COIN2.54x
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · legendary$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0503,178 CSBATTLE_COIN2.54x
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7342,688 CSBATTLE_COIN2.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7342,688 CSBATTLE_COIN2.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7342,688 CSBATTLE_COIN2.15x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
CS:GO Graffiti Boxgraffiti · Common$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
CS:GO Graffiti Boxgraffiti · Common$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
CS:GO Graffiti Boxgraffiti · Common$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
CS:GO Graffiti Boxgraffiti · Common$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
CS:GO Graffiti Boxgraffiti · Common$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
CS:GO Graffiti Boxgraffiti · Common0.72 r$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7342,688 CSBATTLE_COIN2.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic (Factory New)knife · covert knife$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7342,688 CSBATTLE_COIN2.15x
★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald)knife · covert · Emerald$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$13K20,139 CSBATTLE_COIN16.11x
CS:GO Graffiti Boxgraffiti · Common$8061,250 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.590.91 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $13K (16.11x)