5% Loco

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$529.03
820 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
61.77%
297 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
12 openings · below min
7 days
203 openings · below min
30 days
297 openings · below min
since tracking started
297 openings · below min
-0.5%313.5%627.5%

Small sample. 297 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h12211.79%±414.8—sample
7d20367.11%±47.1—sample
30d29761.77%±36.8—sample
All29761.77%±36.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$10.9K16,857 CSBATTLE_COIN20.56x
AWP | Gungnir (Factory New)weapon · covert$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,93115,393 CSBATTLE_COIN18.77x
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,70715,046 CSBATTLE_COIN18.35x
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,70715,046 CSBATTLE_COIN18.35x
AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New)weapon · covert$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$8,53913,235 CSBATTLE_COIN16.14x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$7,10111,006 CSBATTLE_COIN13.42x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$7,10111,006 CSBATTLE_COIN13.42x
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$7,10111,006 CSBATTLE_COIN13.42x
★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire)knife · covert · Sapphire$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$6,67410,344 CSBATTLE_COIN12.61x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ffSharkyGambles$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
Sticker | Baited (Holo)sticker · #8847ff$529820 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.721.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $13.4K (25.40x)