Commander

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$0.94
1.45 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
76.06%
2,590 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
273 openings · below min
7 days
76.14%±17.321,956 openings
30 days
76.06%±14.092,590 openings
since tracking started
76.06%±14.092,590 openings
33.5%63.7%94.0%

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h27357.15%±22.9—sample
7d1,95676.14%±17.3—sample
30d2,59076.06%±14.1—sample
All2,59076.06%±14.1—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander (Well-Worn)gloves · extraordinary$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$81.46126 CSBATTLE_COIN87.08x
★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)knife · covert$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$63.0497.71 CSBATTLE_COIN67.39x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$48.3474.92 CSBATTLE_COIN51.67x
AK-47 | Vulcan (Battle-Scarred)weapon · covert$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$48.3474.92 CSBATTLE_COIN51.67x

Latest dropsnewest first

Sticker | Easy For Ricksawsticker · Rare$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.080.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
Galil AR | Amber Fade (Well-Worn)weapon · Rifles$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$16.6325.77 CSBATTLE_COIN17.77x
M4A1-S | Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear)weapon · #4b69ff$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.691.07 CSBATTLE_COIN0.74x
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New)StatTrak · weapon · restricted$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$7.8312.13 CSBATTLE_COIN8.37x
Sticker | Easy For Ricksawsticker · RareLuskeXX$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
StatTrak™ MP7 | Guerrilla (Minimal Wear)StatTrak · weapon · mil spec$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.121.74 CSBATTLE_COIN1.20x
Sticker | Easy For Ricksawsticker · Rare$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x
MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Battle-Scarred)weapon · #8847ff$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.080.12 CSBATTLE_COIN0.08x
Sticker | Easy For Ricksawsticker · Rare$0.941.45 CSBATTLE_COIN$0.020.03 CSBATTLE_COIN0.02x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $81.46 (87.08x)