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Dark Side

A case on CSBattle, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSBattle's own item price converted from csbattle coin at the rate on the site page.

Price
$625.81
970 CSBATTLE_COIN
Advertised RTP
—
no catalog
Observed RTP, 30d
70.18%
90 openings, sample method
Variance
—
needs odds
Tail share
—
needs odds
Below price
—
needs odds

Advertised vs observedper window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% bandoutside bandsmall sample
24 hours
18 openings · below min
7 days
76 openings · below min
30 days
90 openings · below min
since tracking started
90 openings · below min
27.0%121.2%215.5%

Small sample. 90 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

Windowsthe test per window

WindowOpeningsObservedDev.Method
24h18137.45%±77.5—sample
7d7673.86%±46.2—sample
30d9070.18%±39.8—sample
All9070.18%±39.8—sample
Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

Items, odds and valuesnone published

No catalogCSBattle publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.
Values are CSBattle's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

Biggest dropsfrom this case, by value

★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$9,55214,806 CSBATTLE_COIN15.26x
★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · legendary · Black Pearl$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$3,0324,700 CSBATTLE_COIN4.85x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,4273,762 CSBATTLE_COIN3.88x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby0.72 r$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,0443,168 CSBATTLE_COIN3.27x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9162,970 CSBATTLE_COIN3.06x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9162,970 CSBATTLE_COIN3.06x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7972,785 CSBATTLE_COIN2.87x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7972,785 CSBATTLE_COIN2.87x
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,7972,785 CSBATTLE_COIN2.87x
★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black PearlSharkyGambles$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,5962,474 CSBATTLE_COIN2.55x

Latest dropsnewest first

All Latest drops →
★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby)knife · covert · Ruby$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,9162,970 CSBATTLE_COIN3.06x
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.502.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.502.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl)knife · covert · Black Pearl$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$2,4273,762 CSBATTLE_COIN3.88x
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.502.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · MythicalSharkyGambles$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.502.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Factory New)gloves · extraordinary$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1,3922,157 CSBATTLE_COIN2.22x
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.502.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.502.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x
AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)weapon · Mythical$626970 CSBATTLE_COIN$1.502.32 CSBATTLE_COIN0.00x

Observed RTP over timedaily, 30 days

Observed RTP, daily

Catalog changesprice, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

CapturedPriceAdvertisedItems
Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listedbest hit $9,552 (15.26x)